Sunday, September 16, 2007

Fed Rate Cut Or Not?

Will the US federal reserve cut the interest rate in his september 18 meeting, if yes then by how much, is the puzzle that stock markets are grappling with. Any cut above 25 basis points will indicate deep scars left by subprime mortgage mess and subsequent dampening effects on the economy and job losses and thus concern for stocks in the US and on nations which are export dependent on US. Japan is already facing stronger yen problem because of yen carry trade unwinding and its effect on its exports. Asian stocks have shown good resilience and will continue to outperform the US and Europen stocks as money in these developed countries will flow to growing economies(asian) in order to beat low returns available in their home markets.