Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Will The U.S. Fed Cut The Rates?

Market players are placing huge bets on a possible Interest Rate cut by U.S.Fed in it's next speech in September following the liquidity crunch in the financial system due to huge losses suffered by large players in the U.S. sub-prime mortgage paper. They also believe that to give a push to U.S. economy and to stabalise slump in the U.S. housing market, Fed will cut the rates.
However their bets can go wrong due to many reasons, one of them is since Inflation in the U.S. is still a cause of concern as Fed himself pointed out in his many speeches, also due to recent pumping of dollars in the system Inflation has the chances of getting a head up. Crude Oil is still above U.S.$70.
So markets will be watching Fed speech very eagerly and any dissapointment on rate cut can induce volatility and more nervousness among investor/trader fraternity.