Friday, August 3, 2007

Credit Cycle

We should ask ourselves one extremely important fundamental question i.e., whether Credit cycle that has fuelled spectacular price inflation across the asset class has cracking or not before we raise doubts about continuation of bull run in stocks, commodities, properties.
I say in some segments of U.S. subprime mortgage market, it is showing signs of troule with many borrowers defaulting on their credit liability, and hedge funds along with large investment banks who love to buy these certificates are facing problems. Thats adding volatility in currency and stock markets because they pull back money from other assets like stocks if they face turbulance in holdings of their other invesments like subprime mortgage certificates. Volatility is the name of the game for some time now.